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The Dock on the Bay

A home port for those who are multi-genrelational (sic) in their writing, lifestyles and thinking. Itinerants, hobos and sailors are welcome, but don’t expect food, drink or money. And don’t expect many views either — after all, you’re off course, of course. Tie up here!

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Ukraine War

Riding the Westerlies: Ukraine’s Strategic Use of Balloons Against Russia

How inexpensive helium aerostats have become a persistent asymmetric tool for saturating defences, extending drone reach, and probing Russian rear areas.

8 min readOct 21, 2026

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Partially inflated Ukrainian balloon with drone cargo. Image: Twitter

Ukraine’s use of balloons — both simple weather-type helium aerostats and more sophisticated systems — illustrates a characteristic feature of the current war: the rapid adaptation of inexpensive, low-technology platforms to exploit geographic and operational asymmetries.

Since at least 2024, and with marked intensity from 2025 into 2026, Ukrainian forces have launched well over a thousand such balloons into Russian airspace. They function variously as radar decoys, carriers for attack drones, communications relays, and, in emerging programmes, launch platforms for specialised munitions.

Prevailing westerly winds provide a natural one-way vector that Russia cannot readily reverse, while the balloons’ modest cost and low radar signature complicate the economics of interception. Although not a decisive capability on their own, they form part of a broader effort to impose cumulative friction on Russian air defences, logistics and infrastructure.

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James Marinero, MSc, MBA.
James Marinero, MSc, MBA.

Written by James Marinero, MSc, MBA.⁠

Defence technology, geopolitics, energy & AI analysis. Creator of the Geopolitical Viscosity Index, measuring the structural friction of sovereign power.

The Dock on the Bay
The Dock on the Bay

Published in The Dock on the Bay

A home port for those who are multi-genrelational (sic) in their writing, lifestyles and thinking. Itinerants, hobos and sailors are welcome, but don’t expect food, drink or money. And don’t expect many views either — after all, you’re off course, of course. Tie up here!