Medium

Steven Baru

In

Engage

by

Steven Baru

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Oct 3

Forecasting the Wild

What migrating birds, dinosaurs, and a few rocket-building starfish can teach us about uncertainty

Forecasting the Wild

In

Engage

by

Steven Baru

·

Sep 12

When the Leaves Know

On autumn, migration, and the quiet signals that tell us when it’s time to move on

When the Leaves Know

In

Engage

by

Steven Baru

·

Aug 19

The Compass Wasn’t Wrong

How right answers can lead us in the wrong direction

The Compass Wasn’t Wrong

Steven Baru

·

Jul 6

Knowing When You Know Enough

What learning the ukulele taught me about forecasting, overfitting, and knowing when to move on.

Knowing When You Know Enough

Steven Baru

·

May 13

The Shape of Uncertainty, Part 3

Inside the Box: Finding Certainty in a World of Constraints

The Shape of Uncertainty, Part 3

Steven Baru

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Apr 23

The Shape of Uncertainty — Part 2: Small Causes, Large Outcomes

How a single word, a canyon trail, and a rounding error reveal how small beginnings shape what follows

The Shape of Uncertainty — Part 2: Small Causes, Large Outcomes

Steven Baru

·

Apr 15

Forecasting and the Shape of Uncertainty

How travel, nature, and an unexpected policy outcome reveal the limits of prediction

Forecasting and the Shape of Uncertainty

Steven Baru

·

Apr 9

Finding Balance in Motion

There’s something about the beginning of spring that feels like a quiet reset.

Finding Balance in Motion

Steven Baru

·

Mar 31

More Than One Moment

Not long ago, I found myself walking along a quiet path in a park near Ushuaia, Argentina — close to the southern tip of the world.

More Than One Moment

Steven Baru

·

Mar 26

Patterns We Learn to See

Lately, I’ve been noticing how often the same patterns show up in different places.

Patterns We Learn to See

Steven Baru

Steven Baru

Friend of Medium

Writing about uncertainty, science, economics, nature, and everyday life, shaped by a career in finance, civic work, and an enduring curiosity.

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